Even with the limits, the latest Important Analytics offers the ideal available studies with which so you can guess the fresh new federal split up rates in the 1990. S. Census Bureau teams demonstrates relationship incidents analysis on the ACS and you may You.S. Vital Statistics (including the DRA try) is equivalent ( Elliott ainsi que al., 2010). Quotes for lots more recent years are not it is possible to since federal bodies discontinued new line of vital statistics into marriages and you can divorces at the county top into the 1996.

To ensure our email address details are strong, we performed a supplemental studies of the restricting the latest 2010 ACS research to only the newest DRA attempt says in which years during the duration of divorce or separation try advertised inside 1990. The outcomes out of this supplemental research are nearly just like those individuals based on the entire country, recommending that the increase in the divorce case speed isn’t an enthusiastic artifact regarding in addition to ACS research out-of most of the states.

Analytical Method

Our approach is primarily descriptive as we aim to provide trend data on divorce and to identify the factors associated with divorce among today’s middle-aged and older adults. All results are presented for the total sample and separately for middle-aged (aged 50–64) and older (aged 65 and older) adults to assess whether there is cohort variation. To begin, we calculate the 1990 and 2010 divorce rates (and numbers of divorces) to determine whether the risk of divorce has increased over the past two divorce rates for various subgroups to show how the likelihood of divorce varies by sociodemographic factors (demographic characteristics, economic resources, and the marital biography). (mer …)